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Vegas sets Missouri's win total at 5.5: Are you taking the over or the under?
June 2, 2016
7:56 am
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College BattleGround
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Here are today’s Mizzou Links.

Mizzou Tigers pennantImage Enlarger What’s On

How about some Tim Frizzell highlights?

Frizzell was evidently the star of Day 1 of Mizzou’s camp season.

Honestly his film looks better at LB than RB above (to my eyes, anyway), but remember this name.

PowerMizzou: Camp starts

PowerMizzou: QUICK POST CAMP UPDATE

PowerMizzou: Unknown TN ATH leads the way to start Missouri’s camp season

Mizzou Tigers pennantImage Enlarger 5.5, huh?

CBS Sports: Las Vegas releases 2016 college football win totals for all 128 FBS teams

Over/under win totals for SEC teams:

  • Alabama 10
  • LSU 10
  • Tennessee 9.5
  • Georgia 8.5
  • Ole Miss 8.5
  • Arkansas 7.5
  • Florida 7.5
  • Auburn 6.5
  • Mississippi State 6.5
  • Texas A&M 6
  • Missouri 5.5
  • Kentucky 5
  • South Carolina 5
  • Vanderbilt 5

The initial reaction to the Mizzou line has been kind of funny — Mizzou people seem to be leaning over, non-Mizzou people under. Maybe that’s natural, but my contribution at the moment is that, using my 2016 S&P+ projections, Mizzou’s projected win total is 6.1. And Mizzou’s got something going in its favor: those projections don’t incorporate transfers. That helps a team like TCU, which has brought some high-profile transfers (like QB Kenny Hill) to the table, and it’ll help Missouri a smidge when I add Alex Ross and Chris Black to the ledger. So this feels like a semi-safe ‘over’ for me at the moment, especially since a ton of S&P+ projections are within about 0.1 or 0.2 of the over/unders. Mizzou has one of the larger cushions.

And if you’re curious, here’s how the win probabilities play out currently…

  • 80-100%: EMU (91%), Delaware State (100%)
  • 60-80%: MTSU (77%), Kentucky (74%), Vanderbilt (65%)
  • 40-60%: SC (47%)
  • 20-40%: WVU (33%), UGA (33%), Florida (23%), Arkansas (35%)
  • 0-20%: LSU (9%), Tennessee (19%)

So the key to bowling will be taking care of business in the five semi-easy home games and either taking down SC/WVU/UF on the road of UGA/Arkansas at home. That sounds pretty doable to me at the moment.

Mizzou Tigers pennantImage Enlarger Okay, glad we debated this for a day

Post-Dispatch: SEC quashes talk of division shake-up

Mizzou Tigers pennantImage Enlarger Around the Mizzou universe

Softball

MUtigers.com: Mizzou’s Crane and Fagan Named 2016 NFCA All-Americans

The Trib: MU softball team’s Sprague announces she’ll transfer

Track & Field

MUtigers.com: Montgomery Named SEC Freshman Runner of the Year

Volleyball

MUtigers.com: @MizzouVB Summer Update: Kayla Caffey

Mizzou Tigers pennantImage Enlarger New PAPN!

SB Nation: PODCAST AIN’T PLAYED NOBODY: Baylor, Ole Miss, and anything but Baylor and Ole Miss

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